August 28, 2026
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Tag: American Statistical Association

Wisconsin and Michigan Just Ran the Experiment on Public Polling — and the Instrument Failed Exactly the way it was Built to Fail

August 12, 2026   6:00 pmAugust 12, 2026   6:10 pm
Six days ago, in The Polling Paradox of 2026, I argued that the most-polled midterm in American history had produced the least trustworthy numbers in modern memory, and that public polling had stopped measuring the electorate and started measuring the polling...
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The Polling Paradox of 2026

August 8, 2026   7:38 amAugust 9, 2026   7:39 am
Eighty-nine days before the midterms, the single most-watched number in American politics cannot agree with itself. CNN’s poll with SSRS puts Democrats ahead by eight points on the generic congressional ballot. Emerson College says eleven. The Washington Post-Ipsos survey says...
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