There has been a massive, seemingly intended, failure to triage the coronavirus response and make everyone suffer, in emergency health policy in California and New York, for localized, not statewide, outbreaks of coronavirus.
Seasonal flu deaths are running at about twice the rate of coronavirus in California.
Emergency public health policy in Democrat California and New York has been to home-quarantine everyone and close non-essential services down, devastating their economies. In contrast, health policy in Republican Texas and Florida has been to leave it up to each county and city as to whether to quarantine or shut-down businesses. Statistics in the data table below show the virus incidence rate and death rate in Texas and Florida is vastly lower with enormously less economic damage than California and New York.
New York Gov. Cuomo justifies such totalitarian measures based on hospital admittance rates doubling every two days, but that is only in one city (New York). The actual state death rate is 2 percent of those diagnosed but only 0.0003%, or 3 out of every 100,000 of the entire population, or 66,666 times fewer admittances than forecasted.
Likewise, California Gov. Newsom claims 56 percent of the population will get the coronavirus. This is apparently based on a death rate of 3.5 percent out of all persons diagnosed with the disease in one county (Santa Clara County – see data table below). The actual death rate in the entire state is, 0.003%, reflecting 3 out of every million, or 11,666 times less than forecasted. If California and New York are exaggerating coronavirus incidence and death rates, should the reported statistics even be trusted?
Gov. Cuomo: “We closed everything down. That was our public health strategy,” “Why all of this? Because it’s 1 percent or 2 percent of the population. It’s lives”
“That’s how I think you do it. … It’s not [that] we’re going to either do public health or we’re going to do economic development and restarting. We have to do both.”
“Gov. Newsome Letter to Pres. Trump: “In some parts of our state, our case rate is doubling every four days…We project that 56 percent of our population – 26.5 million people – will be infected with the virus over an 8 week period”.
Governors Newsom and Cuomo each misuse data from one coronavirus hot spot in one county and extrapolate it to their entire states. There is no statistical basis to detain people in their homes, close-down non-essential businesses and schools in entire states or require massive statewide bailouts. In fact, shutting down essential businesses in California and New York appears to be justification for statewide bailouts rather than sound health policy.
This failure to triage has resulted in about 50 counties in California and 60 counties in New York state having to suffer house confinement and shutdowns of non-essential businesses and ruination of their economies because no county can be better off under the political Left’s social justice health policy. This is similar to California’s 2012 to 2016 drought conservation policy where no city or county that is water self- sufficient (Riverside, Blythe, Downey, Carpinteria) was exempt from 25 percent water cutbacks that helped no one.
Moreover, the estimated death rate for seasonal influenza (not coronavirus) in California thus far in 2019-2020 is 6.45% based on 4,235 cases and 273 deaths at Kaiser Permanente Hospitals.
While coronavirus incidence and death rates in California and New York are reported as statewide, they are actually based on one county in each state (Santa Clara County in California and New York City/County in the state of New York – see data below). There has been a massive failure to triage in emergency health policy in California and New York.
Key Definition: Triage: The process of sorting people based on their need for immediate medical treatment as compared to their chance of benefiting from such care.
Selected Coronavirus Data per State (data sources: 1point3acres.com)
Death Rate per Case
Incidence Ratio per Population
Death Ratio per Population
Or 1 out of
1 out of 10,000 or 0.01%
1.3 out of 100
1.3 out of 100
2 out of 1,000,000
Selected Coronavirus Data per County (data source: 1point3acres.com)
Deaths per Cases
Incidence per Population
Deaths per Population
Santa Clara County, CA
1 out of 100,000
New York County, NY
1.7 out of 100 or
Dallas County, TX
2 out of 100
1 out of 10,000 or
Broward County, FLA
3 out of 10,000
- Citizen Video Questions Legality of Newsom’s C-19 Emergency - May 21, 2020
- Here’s a Look at the Coronavirus Hit to California Economy - May 18, 2020
- Stanford Doctor Has Nothing but Bad News for Politicians about C-Virus - May 18, 2020