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Does Gavin Newsom Even Have a Chance at Retaining his Job?

‘The polling data shows that Newsom might lose in a blowout on September 14th’

By Katy Grimes, August 3, 2021 4:55 pm

Press play to hear a narrated version of this story, presented by AudioHopper.

The latest Emerson Poll was released Tuesday stating, “Newsom clings to lead in Recall while crime becomes top issue for CA voters.”

As Elections Attorney and newly announced U.S. Senate candidate Mark Meuser said, “If you read the Emerson College poll that came out today, you would think that Gavin Newsom has a slight lead in keeping his job. However, if you read the underlining data, it shows that Gavin might lose in a blowout on September 14th.”

Emerson Poll, August 3, 2021. (Photo: Emerson Poll)

Gubernatorial candidate Larry Elder is up to 23% and Newsom only has a 2 point keep lead. “Someone else” is polling higher than candidates John Cox, Caitlyn Jenner, Kevin Kiley, Kevin Faulconer and Kevin Paffrath. And 40% are undecided. That’s a lot of undecided voters only 47 days out from the Sept. 14th Recall Election.

Emerson Poll, August 3, 2021. (Photo: Emerson Poll)

Just last week, the Globe reported on the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies/Los Angeles Times survey which showed Governor Gavin Newsom within 3 points of being recalled when voting is broken down to likely voters this September.

Elder polled at 18% last week, with 31% of Republicans backing him as of late July.

The Globe spoke with Mark Meuser and compared notes on the latest poll and the data.

“First, looking at the data, we see that the hispanic community is 54.4% planning on voting for the recall,” Meuser said. The state of California has approximately 35% registered Hispanic voters. But this poll only made up of 24.2% hispanic voters, Meuser noted. “It appears that this Emerson poll has under sampled hispanic voters.” This is also posted on his Senate campaign Facebook page.

Emerson Poll ethnicity breakdown. (Photo: Emerson poll)

“Hispanics are the only racial group in favor of the recall (54% recall/41% keep), while White respondents were split (48% recall/49% keep),” Emerson Poll reported. “Majorities of Black respondents (41% recall/57% keep) and Asian respondents (30% recall/49% keep) were in favor of keeping Newsom as Governor.”

Meuser continued: “Second, the Emerson poll sampled 46.4% democrats, 23.1% republicans, and 30.5% other parties, which may be close to actual party affiliation breakdowns.” However, Meuser said they do not track with typical turnout in California for special elections. “During special elections, Californian republicans tend to turn out in much higher numbers,” he said.

Emerson Poll party breakdown. (Photo: Emerson poll)

“It appears that with an under representation of hispanic voters and by under-polling Republicans, Gavin Newsom better be calling a moving company because he is not going to be in office much longer,” Meuser said.

As the Globe reported last week, it already wasn’t looking good for Gov. Newsom.

“Based on those most likely to vote, the recall is now within the margin of error, with recall yes votes now only 3% away, 47% to 50%.”

“By party, the situation is even more dire for Democrats. While 91% of Democrats intend to vote to keep Newsom, 95% of Republicans said they would vote to recall Newsom, along with a near even 46%-50% split slightly in favor of keeping Newsom among voters with no party affiliation and 68% of minor party voters in favor of ousting Newsom.”

California Hispanic voters significantly support recalling Governor Newsom, but don’t favor a candidate yet to replace him. Enterprising gubernatorial candidates may want to invest in Spanish-language radio and television ads to reach these valuable underrepresented voters.

 

Here is the Emerson polling data: ECP_CA_Aug_1 (1)

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13 thoughts on “Does Gavin Newsom Even Have a Chance at Retaining his Job?

  1. Watch for election fraud. The ends justify the means for the communist Left. Nothing is beneath Newsom and the Democrats.

    1. Dominion is still pervasive in California counties…. we need to learn the lessons from November 2020…

      Recall : https://votingsystems.cdn.sos.ca.gov/oversight/county-vsys/vot-tech-by-counties-2021-1.pdf

      Nov 2020 : https://votingsystems.cdn.sos.ca.gov/oversight/county-vsys/vot-tech-by-counties-2020-11.pdf

      COMPARE & CONTRAST to the LAST Special election in October 2003 : https://votingsystems.cdn.sos.ca.gov/oversight/county-vsys/vote-sys-used-by-counties-10-07-03.pdf

  2. I’m going with the blowout.
    I think the final straw was when he turned on the state employees who are usually his trusted allies and made them all guinea pigs in his vaccination scheme [SEIU has filed a cease and desist regarding his forced vaccination plan] and promised to muzzle the school children for another year.
    Can’t happen soon enough as far as I am concerned.

  3. Works for me! Don’t want to jinx it but wouldn’t we LOVE to see the backside of Gavin Newsom heading out of the state on a rail? The sooner the better.

  4. These “lockdown” governors are being sacrificed by the NWO. These useful idiots, like good commies, were recruited to do the dirty deeds of global ruling elite, you know like killing seniors in nursing homes, destroying the economy, purposefully keeping kids out of school, creating and maintaining the crime wave – the overall breakdown of American society, all in the name of keeping you safe from covid. But sometimes your “people” will need to be sacrificed in order to proceed to the next phase of THE GREAT RESET. They have become publicly too toxic and need to eliminated. Cuomo comes to mind. Compare the absence of defense of these lockdown governors to the defense of Fauci. Night and day. Fauci is still useful in the eyes of the NWO. Buh bye Newsom. Whitmer is next…

  5. Cannot wait for the ballot to arrive to recall this POS whom has ruined California. Vote to recall and elect Larry 😊

    1. Larry Elder for California Governor!

      Lord have mercy on us and please no Dominion voting machines or Smartmatic software!

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