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Shock Poll: California CD 4

Jessica Morse is only 1 Point Behind Tom McClintock

By Sean Brown, November 6, 2018 2:50 pm

BREAKING: Democratic Challenger Jessica Morse is casted only 1 point behind Republican Incumbent Tom McClintock in today’s poll.

The poll shows Tom McClintock (R) with 49 percent, Jessica Morse (D) with 48 percent. Not only was this district not expected to evolve into such a competitive race, if Morse wins, it will surely be one of the biggest congressional upsets in California.

Capitol weekly said “the polling shows both campaigns capturing their partisan vote, which has been much more Republican in the early vote. It is reflected in the polling, which includes 511 Republican respondents and just 389 Democrat, but Morse’s lead with other, independent voters appears to be a big advantage for her.”

This race has been labeled ‘likely Republican’ by several pollsters including the Cook Political Report, however, it has not managed to gather anything close to the amount of attention by the media compared to other races.

“If Morse ultimately wins, it would happen within an extremely large national Democratic wave beyond what most political professionals have been expecting,” said the site.

Election Day voters and Monday and Tuesday’s mail-in-ballots were not included in the poll. 1,141 total people were surveyed.

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