Merry Christmas from Trump: US Economy Unexpectedly Surges 4.3% in Third Quarter — Strongest Growth in Two Years
‘Productivity is off the charts’
By Katy Grimes, December 23, 2025 8:38 am
Surprisingly strong consumer spending has the market high. As the Wall Street Journal reported, “The U.S. economy expanded at a 4.3% annual rate in the third quarter of 2025, its fastest pace in two years, driven largely by strong consumer spending, rising exports, and increased government outlays.”
Strong consumer spending significantly contributes to U.S. economic growth. It’s a very good sign.
Merry Christmas America from President Donald Trump.
The inflation-adjusted annual rate of 4.3% marked an uptick from 3.8% growth the previous quarter and beat analyst expectations of 3.2% growth, according to economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.
Additionally, according to Economist Peter St Onge, Ph.D., “Corrupt media and economic ‘experts’ tried everything they could to push us into recession. And here we are at 4.3% growth — one of the best in a decade — and recession odds the lowest since Biden.”
Boom. Mic drop.
The odds of a recession next year reached an all-time low of 25% according to Kalshi:
“This is a very, very impressive GDP report … 8% essentially nominal GDP growth, consumer spending really beat expectations,” said BofA Securities Economist Aditya Bhave on today’s GDP Report. “This is pretty unusual … Productivity growth is off the charts.”
“Productivity is off the charts.” That’s good news.
St. Onge also reports “Young Americans got an early Christmas present with rental prices falling the most in 15 years. Apparently deporting 2 million illegals lowers the rent.”
“Keep it up and maybe we don’t have a housing crisis at all.”
Young Americans got an early Christmas present with rental prices falling the most in 15 years.
Apparently deporting 2 million illegals lowers the rent.
Keep it up and maybe we don’t have a housing crisis at all. pic.twitter.com/PTeXY1Ufut
— Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) December 23, 2025
St. Onge also says landlords are making deals with renters – throwing in three months rent, and loosening income standards, allowing part time workers to qualify for rentals.
Blue-collar workers and young Americans are seeing economic progress for the first time in years – rent prices finally falling, with economists saying thanks to the Trump administration deporting so many illegals causing rental vacancies.
These are some of the headlines today – compare these to one year ago:
Consumers power strongest US economic growth in two years – WSJ
US economy grows at fastest pace in two years – BBC
Economy expanded at a surprisingly strong 4.3% last quarter LA Times
The U.S. economy grew robustly as Americans continued to spend NPR
As for the recent job loss report, St. Onge says that’s bunkum:
The BLS says we lost 41,000 jobs in 2 months. But control for Federal layoffs and we gained 121,000. Control for deportations and we gained 300,000. The “Weak” job numbers are entirely made of Federal layoffs and millions of illegals going home.
“The ‘Weak’ job numbers are entirely made of Federal layoffs and millions of illegals going home” is the money quote.
Just as with California’s ridiculous jobs report showing the most growth in government, nearly all of the employment gains during the Biden Administration were public jobs.
Good news all around.
As someone commented, “Deportations and layoffs: Economy’s on a juice cleanse.”
As the Trump administration notes on economic improvements:
Congress passed the One Big Beautiful Bill, thereby delivering the largest tax cut in American history, increasing Americans’ take-home pay by as much as $13,300, and terminating benefits for at least 1.4 million illegal immigrants who were gaming the system.
Congress passed President Trump’s historic rescissions package, which will save taxpayers $9 billion in wasteful, politically-motivated funding for leftwing foreign aid scams and biased NPR and PBS.
President Trump also issued a $5 billion pocket rescission using his authority under the Impoundment Control Act, cancelling government funding for woke, weaponized, and wasteful spending.
The wholesale price of a dozen eggs is down 67%, or $4.39, since the inauguration and is down 74%, or $6.01, from its March peak.
CEA: President Trump has created nearly 500,000 jobs since taking office, with all net job growth coming from the private sector and going to native-born Americans.
Since President Trump took office, inflation is tracking at 1.9% — low and stable.
Summer gas prices reached their lowest point since 2021, and, inflation-adjusted, are near a 20-year low. Labor Day gas prices also were the cheapest since 2020.
President Trump’s deregulatory efforts have already saved Americans over $180 billion, or $2,100 per family of four, with the rollback of automobile-related rules alone expected to save consumers more than $1.1 trillion. Over the next fiscal year, President Trump’s deregulatory efforts will save American businesses as much as $5 trillion.
Seven months in to President Trump’s second term, real wages for blue collar workers are up 1.4% over last year — the second-fastest increase for the start of a new term on record.
Companies and foreign governments have pledged over $8.7 trillion in investments into the U.S.
The Trump Administration will create tax-deferred investment accounts for ALL newborn American children. This will help set the next generation of Americans on a course for financial prosperity.
In August, tariff revenues topped $31 billion — bringing the total to $158 billion this calendar year, or more than 2.5 times the revenue this time last year.
The S&P500 and Nasdaq market indices have reached multiple record highs.
The Congressional Budget Office – often partisan and left-wing – was forced to admit tariffs will reduce the deficit by $4 trillion.
Mortgage rates fell to a 10-month low in August.
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit ruled that the Trump administration can proceed with the cancellation of $16 billion of Biden-era climate grants.
Winning. Merry Christmas America, and a Happy New Year to come.
A California native and Navy mom, Katy lives in Sacramento, CA.
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Total BS. All hyperbole and sophistry. The US dollar is down 70 per cent in value over the last year alone and during the second Trump presidency.
Trump Newsom and the other elected creeps are literally destroying you and America with chaos inducing cash being that is being extracted from us by depleting our hard earned resources.
The price of gold, beans and Rolex watches all you need to gauge your journey down the slippery slope of destruction.
Not a political statement rather basic math.
The actual economic number is a contraction of 26% the deficit included.
Um, “total BS” to quote you. With inflation at 1.7%, you may want to find a different news source.
MS Grimes:
With all due respects I submit to you the party line subjective inflation numbers are meant to quell the angst of the pensive America public: News is presumed to be factual by many: The hard all inclusive economic math model tells a vastly different rendition.
I’m significantly enjoined with an engineering and manufacturing company situated in Orange County CA, supporting the aerospace and medical equipment industries with 190 individuals in our employ. Our operating expenses of the past year increased 17% this past year and are forecast to increase 20% during calendar 2026; we rely extensively on parts and materials purchased from off shore sources many forcibly billed by our vendors against gold’s valuation thus rejecting the US dollar as tender.
The premiums for our employee provided medical insurance alone is slated to increase 64% next year; we’re considering offering a yearly lump sum to each employee to then afford them the ability to secure insurance on their own or go without, their choice. We’re being pushed to the brink of no longer providing insurance to dependents and family members: This could be viewed as combative in nature: Our insurance overwhelmingly opted for over the insurance provided spouses as our policy’s benefits embraced and appreciated by all.
To suggest your believers ignore their fate as it relates the objective value of the fruits of their labors relative to the worldy and accepted standards of currency valuation is respectfully I submit a breach of intellectual honesty. For you to minimize the ramafications of a near 70% decrease of the value of the currency we Americans are forced to embrace is disingenuous. 70% “down” with a negative hastening trajectory is minimally alarming and if America’s economy was healthy the dollar’s valuation would soar, its not, the dollar is sinking.
The foregoing not political commentary rather hard chilling mathematical/fiscal facts the likes of which we’re supposed to shun. Given the gravity of the facts and their consequences, genuine and honest elected officials would protect us from our eerir fate but they won’t for reasons you should be able to decipher.
My expectation of information purporting to be news should be replete with factual data only and devoid of any and all opinion.
For me, I purge my psyche of all opinions immediately upon recognition and sort for facts only; not doing so, I’d be out of work in a week.
Thank you for what you do.
California (and especially Orange County) is a very expensive place to run a business mostly because of the burdensome regulations and high taxes/fees that have been imposed by Democrats who’ve controlled the state for years. If your company wants to reduce operating expenses, then maybe your company should consider relocating to a more business friendly state that has lower taxes and fewer regulations?
Instead of extensively relying on parts and materials purchased from off shore sources, maybe your company should focus on purchasing parts and materials that are produced domestically thus avoiding currency fluctuations and import taxes and fees?
The Democrat’s Affordable Care Act (aka Obamacare) has destroyed the individual health insurance market while increasing healthcare costs. The law’s mandates and regulations not only caused widespread cancellation of existing health insurance plans, but healthcare insurance premiums and deductibles in the individual market have skyrocketed making coverage less affordable even with subsidies. The structure of the law incentivizes insurers to raise premiums because enhanced government subsidies often offset these increases which effectively funnels more taxpayer money to insurance companies.
Meanwhile California Democrats extended taxpayer funded healthcare coverage through the state’s Medi-Cal program to all illegal aliens in California, regardless of age, if they meet income requirements. It’s just another reason for your company to flee California?
Finally, there has NOT been a 70% decrease of the value of the U.S. currency as you falsely claim. The U.S. does NOT operate on a gold standard and there are currently NO other countries whose currencies are directly tied to the price of gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally ensuring consistency across international markets. The price of gold is subject to continuous fluctuation based on market dynamics, supply and demand, and geopolitical factors. There is an inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and gold prices, with a weaker dollar typically boosting gold prices due to increased demand from international buyers and central banks.
As of December 24, 2025, the US dollar has weakened by 9.48% over the past 12 months, according to the DXY exchange rate, which measures the dollar against a basket of major currencies. While the dollar has declined recently, it remains more than 40% above its 2011 level against a basket of currencies, indicating long-term strength despite short-term fluctuations.
@Eyeinthesky. As usual, you have no idea what you are talking about and apparently you have no desire to figure out why you have no idea what you are talking about:
“The US dollar is down 70 per cent in value over the last year alone and during the second Trump presidency.”
Grok:
No, the claim that the US dollar has lost 70% of its value over the last year (or during the second Trump presidency in 2025) is not accurate.
Actual Performance:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar’s value against a basket of major currencies (like the euro, yen, and pound), has declined by approximately 9-10% year-to-date in 2025 as of late December. This represents one of the weaker annual performances in recent decades, driven by factors such as trade tariffs, fiscal concerns, and policy uncertainty, but it is far from a 70% drop.
Key Data Points:
The DXY stood around 98 on December 26, 2025, down about 9.7% for the year (per Trading Economics and other financial trackers).
The steepest part of the decline occurred in the first half of 2025, with an ~11% drop—the largest first-half loss since 1973 (sources: Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan, Al Jazeera).
A 70% loss would imply the dollar’s purchasing power or exchange value collapsing dramatically (e.g., DXY falling from ~108 at the start of 2025 to around 30-40), which has not occurred. Historical extremes, like the dollar’s peak in 1985 (DXY ~165), show even major devaluations are typically 20-40% over multi-year periods, not 70% in one year.
Purchasing Power and Inflation:
In terms of domestic purchasing power (affected by inflation), the U.S. inflation rate has been around 2.7-3% annually in late 2025 (CPI data for November showed 2.7% year-over-year), meaning a very modest erosion—not anywhere near 70%.
Such a massive devaluation would trigger hyperinflation-like conditions, severe market turmoil, and global economic chaos, none of which align with current reports. The dollar has weakened notably in 2025 but remains the world’s dominant reserve currency.
Eyeinthesky is once again full of BS and the claim that the US dollar is down 70 percent in value over the last year is ridiculously incorrect.
As of December 24, 2025, the US dollar has weakened by 9.48% over the past 12 months, according to the DXY exchange rate, which measures the dollar against a basket of major currencies. While the dollar has declined recently, it remains more than 40% above its 2011 level against a basket of currencies, indicating long-term strength despite short-term fluctuations.
the US Dollar down 71.15% this year and year to date referenced against GOLD.
Americans being financially raped
Richard Nixon was instrumental in removing America from gold accountability
The U.S. does NOT operate on a gold standard and there are currently NO other countries whose currencies are directly tied to the price of gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally ensuring consistency across international markets. The price of gold is subject to continuous fluctuation based on market dynamics, supply and demand, and geopolitical factors. There is an inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and gold prices, with a weaker dollar typically boosting gold prices due to increased demand from international buyers and central banks. The dollar has shown weakness in 2025, with the dollar index falling to 97.8831 on December 24, 2025, down 9.48% over the past 12 months. The U.S. and many other countries maintain significant gold reserves as a hedge against fiat currency risks.
Your claim that the US dollar has declined by 71.15% against gold this year is not supported by the available data. The price of gold has fluctuated widely in 2025, reaching a high of $4,459.11 per ounce on December 22, 2025, and a low of $2,623.91 per ounce on January 1, 2025. The U.S. dollar has lost approximately 55% of its value against gold during the 3 year period between September 2022 and December 2025.
https://goldprice.org/
What is being done to you visible thie above website
UNNERVING
EXCELLENT!
Merry Christmas Katy Grimes and all the great Globe contributors and fellow friend commenters!
Merry Christmas, CA Globe, and a MAGA New Year!
The U.S. does NOT operate on a gold standard and there are currently NO other countries whose currencies are directly tied to the price of gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars globally ensuring consistency across international markets. The price of gold is subject to continuous fluctuation based on market dynamics, supply and demand, and geopolitical factors. There is an inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and gold prices, with a weaker dollar typically boosting gold prices due to increased demand from international buyers and central banks. The dollar has shown weakness in 2025, with the dollar index falling to 97.8831 on December 24, 2025, down 9.48% over the past 12 months. The U.S. and many other countries maintain significant gold reserves as a hedge against fiat currency risks.
Your claim that the US dollar has declined by 71.15% against gold this year is not supported by the available data. The price of gold has fluctuated widely in 2025, reaching a high of $4,459.11 per ounce on December 22, 2025, and a low of $2,623.91 per ounce on January 1, 2025. The U.S. dollar has lost approximately 55% of its value against gold during the 3 year period between September 2022 and December 2025.