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California’s New Crime Math Alters FBI 2020 Crime Data Showing Murder Rate Increased 30%

CA ‘realigned’ prison offenses, and then redefined ‘recidivism’

By Katy Grimes, September 28, 2021 3:44 pm

The FBI announced Monday that the national murder rate increased 30% in 2020. Could anyone have predicted that calling for police to be defunded would lead to increased violent crime?

The estimated number of violent crimes in the nation increased for the first time in 4 years, when compared with the previous year’s statistics, according to FBI figures. In 2020, violent crime was up 5.6 percent from the 2019 number. Property crimes dropped 7.8 percent, marking the 18th consecutive year the collective estimates for these offenses declined, the FBI reported.

The 2020 statistics show:

  • the estimated rate of violent crime was 387.8 offenses per 100,000 inhabitants
  • the estimated rate of property crime was 1,958.2 offenses per 100,000 inhabitants
  • the violent crime rate rose 5.2 percent when compared with the 2019 rate; the property crime rate declined 8.1 percent.

We’d like to report the FBI crime statistics for California in 2020, however, California did not contribute to the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) data collection, according to the FBI. The FBI did report that in 2020, the FBI estimated crime statistics for California are based on data received from 732 of 740 law enforcement agencies in the state that year.

Here are the FBI statistics for California homicides, 2010 through 2020:

While it appears California falls below the national average, the footnotes on the FBI’s California homicide page explain why:

Year Footnote
2011 2011 – because of changes in the state’s reporting practices, figures are not comparable to previous years’ data.
2014 Agencies within this state submitted rape data according to both the revised UCR definition of rape and the legacy UCR definition of rape.

In 2011, Governor Jerry Brown signed AB 109 called “Public Safety Realignment,” buried in a budget bill.  This new “public safety realignment” prohibits prison sentences for virtually all property felonies, parole violations and even crimes like assault, revising this definition of a felony to include certain crimes that are punishable in local jail for more than one year – making the crime a local problem, rather than a state problem.

Thus the “changes in the state’s reporting practices.”

AB 109 bill analysis defined it: “This bill is related to the realignment of certain low level offenders, adult parolees, and juvenile offenders from state to local jurisdictions.”

AB 109 was the prison “diversion” law that dumped thousands of criminals from state prisons onto local jails, many subsequently being released into the general public and committing crimes. Following passage of AB 109, the Legislature and Governor deviously passed Assembly Bill 1050, ordering the Board of State and Community Corrections to redefine “recidivism” in an obvious effort to manipulate recidivism statistics.

The California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation reports that 75 percent of recidivists commit their re-entry crime within a year of release.  The previous definition of “recidivism” was “arrests,” rather than “convictions,” and it was within one year, not three years. Additionally, study after study has shown that between 6 percent and 10 percent of criminals are responsible for up to 70 percent of all crimes committed.

In addition to undermining the state’s Three Strikes law which successfully dealt with recidivist criminals, and while disarming law-abiding California citizens with strict gun control laws, Gov. Brown and state lawmakers pushed and passed a number of initiatives that gutted the criminal justice system:

  • weakening parole (AB 109),
  • downgrading a host of crimes to misdemeanors (Prop. 47),
  • and making dangerous felons eligible for release when they have served just a portion of their sentences (Prop. 57)

Perhaps this is why the FBI relies on data received from 732 of 740 California law enforcement agencies.

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9 thoughts on “California’s New Crime Math Alters FBI 2020 Crime Data Showing Murder Rate Increased 30%

  1. The topic of CA crime is frightening and disorienting, given what the state has long done and continues to do in this regard, as if PURPOSELY trying to make as many people as possible victims of crime, but this coverage is very much appreciated so that at least we are able to navigate better what has been purposely hidden from us by our sick state leadership.

  2. Think it’s bad now? Wait until those people that were allowed to enter the USA illegally start getting settled in with their welfare checks! Will they continue their barbaric ways or will they embrace the Judaeo Christian values that made this country the envy of the world?
    Maybe those compassionate do-gooders that assisted this invasion can instill in these new immigrants an understanding of America’s greatness before they give them their checks……..
    I’m such a dreamer!!

  3. With Democrats in the supermajority, this will get worse. After the loss of the recall, my family and I are considering leaving California. This is not an easy decision, but it is clear, Democrats are not going to address rising crime among other issues. Some will say, “stay and fight”. I see no point. The California Republican Party HAS DONE NOTHING to address the voter fraud that has been occurring for the past 20 years. Until ballot harvesting is made illegal ( as it is in other states), California will always vote Democrat. This is great data to encourage hard-working Californians to leave.

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