On Tuesday, Health and Human Services Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly, a cabinet-level secretary in the Newsom administration, announced that 11 Californian counties would be moving into more restrictive tiers as the number of new cases and the positivity rates in those counties have gone significantly up since late October. Sacramento, Stanislaus, and San Diego counties were moved back to the most strict lockdowns.
Sacramento County, with a population of 1,567,490 million, has 514 deaths attributed to coronavirus. However, deaths in Sacramento County peaked in August, and have dribbled off since. And according to physicians the Globe has interviewed, the only important measurement are those in the hospital, and those who have died as a result of the coronavirus.
If practicing physicians were driving the decisions in California, lockdowns would be a thing of the past, and admittedly a failure.
Additionally, as the Globe has reported, children and young people are not only not sick with coronavirus, many epidemiologists say they are not spreaders – as this Sacramento County chart proves:
“Cases” are not hospitalizations or deaths.
Perhaps the most revealing graph is this one showing “positivity” rates – note the yellow “positive” and the blue “non-positive cases.”
Why exactly is Sacramento County closed down?
The Sacramento County health director claims the increase in “positive cases” stem from Halloween celebrations. Actually, the real “spike” is in “non-positive” cases.
San Diego County, with a population of 3,379,160 million, has had 915 deaths attributed to coronavirus. San Diego County reports 1,562,879 tests given, with 61,053 “confirmed cases.” This also means 1,501,826 San Diegans tested negative for coronavirus.
Again, the age breakdown on deaths attributed to coronavirus in San Diego County is as telling as it is in Sacramento County:
This chart shows a drop in the death rate attributable to coronavirus, down to 3 deaths 11/7/2020:
Stanislaus County, with a population of 558,911, has 409 deaths attributed to coronavirus. The County has tested 127,537 tested, 18,614 positive “cases,” and 17,635 recovered.
Stanislaus County deaths attributed to coronavirus also peaked in August, and have dribbled down to 1 death November 10, 2020.
The numbers don’t add up at all to warrant further restrictions. What this does add up to is more California businesses closing, more employees on unemployment, and more Californians reliant on government assistance.
Yellow (Minimal) to Orange (Moderate):
- Modoc County
- Siskiyou County
- Trinity County
Orange (Moderate) to Red (Substantial)
- Amador County
- Contra Costa County
- El Dorado County
- Placer County
- Santa Cruz County
Red (Substantial) to Purple (Widespread)
- Sacramento County
- San Diego County
- Stanislaus County
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